Evil’s Outlook: Week 2
November 3, 2008 by Evil E
Roger Mason is always willing to lend an assist. Can he help out your fantasy team as well? Find out in my Week 2 outlook.
Evil’s Outlook goes around the league, team by team, and examines which players are hot, which players are cold, and which players are worth keeping an eye on. This week’s outlook suggests 85 players who are safe starts and 50 players who are borderline starters, so if your league is much smaller or larger, adjust accordingly.
Listed first are the number of games played for each team, followed by a select group of teams with poor and favorable matchups. After that are 5 solid pickups. These pickups are geared towards deeper leagues, where the free agent pool is lacking in talent. If you’re in a shallow league, you should be able to find better alternatives. Lastly, all 30 NBA teams are listed in alphabetical order. Ideally, you’ll be able to get a good feel of what’s going on around the league by reading this, even if you didn’t watch a single game or look at any boxscores this past week. So here is Evil’s Outlook for Week 2…
4 games: BOS, CHA, CHI, CLE, DAL, DET, GSW, HOU, LAC, MEM, PHO, SAC, UTA
3 games: ATL, DEN, IND, MIA, MIL, MIN, NJN, NOR, NYK, OKC, ORL, PHI, POR, SAS, TOR, WAS
2 games: LAL
5 Poor Schedules
1. Los Angeles Lakers (2 games – LA Clippers, Houston)
2. Portland Trail Blazers (3 games – @Utah, Houston, Minnesota)
3. Oklahoma City Thunder (3 games – Boston, @Utah, Atlanta)
4. Los Angeles Clippers (4 games – Utah, @LA Lakers, Houston, Dallas)
5. Houston Rockets (4 games – Boston, @Portland, @LA Clippers, @LA Lakers)
5 Favorable Schedules
1. Memphis Grizzlies (4 games – Golden State, @Sacramento, @Golden State, @Denver)
2. Golden State Warriors (4 games – @Memphis, Denver, Memphis, @Sacramento)
3. Utah Jazz (4 games – @LA Clippers, Portland, Oklahoma City, @New York)
4. Sacramento Kings (4 games – @Philadelphia, Memphis, Minnesota, Golden State)
5. Denver Nuggets (3 games – @Golden State, Dallas, Memphis)
5 Solid Pickups
1. Kelenna Azubuike, Warriors
With Mickael Pietrus and Matt Barnes on other teams, and Marco Belinelli and Anthony Randolph not ready for big minutes, Azubuike is undoubtedly the Warriors’ top swingman off the bench this year. He’s versatile too, as he can play power forward or point guard in a pinch (against Toronto, Nellie went with a HUGE lineup that featured Stephen Jackson or Azubuike at PG, Maggette at SG, Harrington at SF, Turiaf at PF, and Biedrins at C). Astute owners picked him up after he dropped 17 points and grabbed 3 steals in the season opener, but ‘Buike is still available in many leagues. Trust me, he’s going to have a bunch of big games this season.
2. Roger Mason, Spurs
The Spurs offseason signing of Roger Mason is already paying dividends, as he’s scored 26 points, made 5 threes, and dished out 7 assists in their first 2 games. At 28 years old, Mason is a youngster compared to most of San Antonio’s roster. They need his scoring ability and athleticism, so he should continue to excel while Ginobili’s out.
3. Anthony Carter, Nuggets
For my ’07-08 midseason awards, I chose Carter as my #2 top free agent pickup, and yet he went undrafted again in most leagues, so here he is. Carter is a solid source of steals and assists, and he’s even knocking down shots right now. (UPDATE: If the Iverson for Billups trade happens, you can forget about Carter. Ramon Sessions shouldn’t be available anymore, but if he is, you should be all over him).
4. Chris Andersen, Nuggets
The Birdman is officially back! In 3 games, he’s pulled down 18 rebounds and blocked 7 shots in just 53 total minutes. I like those numbers, so I just picked him up in a league where I could use a boost in blocks. The Nugz only play 3 times this week, but they have a full schedule in the following 3 weeks, so he could be very useful. (UPDATE: If both McDyess and Samb come over in the Iverson for Billups trade, that is going to limit Andersen’s minutes and value. Consider picking up Jason Maxiell, as he’ll get most of McDyess’ minutes in Detroit).
5. Rasual Butler, Hornets
Rasual is simply a short-term pickup while Peja Stojakovic nurses a sprained ankle. If you need threes, he’s worth a look, because he made 3 treys on Saturday and averaged 1.7 threes per game in ’06-07. He might even block a shot or two for you.
Atlanta Hawks (3 games)
Joe Johnson is off to a great start, averaging 30 points on 58% shooting from the field. More assists will come when his teammates start knocking down some shots. Josh Smith has made just 12-of-27 shots thus far and is averaging a mediocre 15.5 points per game, but the high-flyer has already racked up 21 boards, 7 steals, and 7 blocks in just 2 games. Zaza Pachulia is averaging just 16.5 minutes per game, but he deserves a mention because he’s pulled down a whopping 13 offensive rebounds in 2 contests! Marvin Williams was suspended for game 1, but he played only 20 minutes in game 2 and shot just 1-for-7 from the field, making him a risky start this week.
START: J-Smoov, Johnson, Horford, Bibby
BORDERLINE: M. Williams
Boston Celtics (4 games)
Leon Powe is one of Boston’s most reliable players right now. In just 19.3 minutes of action, he’s averaging 13.7 points on 68.8% FG shooting. If he could only get more minutes… I thought that KG was going to bounce back this season, but he’s off to a slow start. He’s averaging more turnovers (3.7) than free throw attempts (3.0), which is very poor for such a skilled offensive player. Kendrick Perkins has pulled down 21 rebounds in 3 games, but he’s also picked up 14 fouls and has scored just 10 points. It’s his 6th NBA season, but it looks like he’s going to be inconsistent once again. Tony Allen isn’t playing that great, as he’s shooting just 34.5% from the field and has posted 2 assists to 4 turnovers. However, Ray Allen has been terrible. Thru 3 games, he’s TOTALED just 32 points and 3 threes, while posting a terrible ratio of 2 assists to 10 turnovers. If you drafted him, you should be very worried right now. Eddie House is throwing up bricks, as he’s made just 1-of-12 threes and 3-of-18 shots overall. Mr. “instant offense” has been ice cold thus far.
START: Garnett, Pierce, Rondo
BORDERLINE: R. Allen, Perkins
BENCH: T. Allen
WATCH: Powe
Charlotte Bobcats (4 games)
Gerald Wallace had a monster game on Saturday, and is now averaging 23.5 points on 57.7% shooting from the field. He’s racked up 5 steals and 3 blocks in 2 games, which is a great sign for his possible career year. Raymond Felton has dropped 13 dimes in 2 games, but he’s scored just 11 total points and has only 1 steal and 1 three. The rookie Augustin is getting big minutes off the bench, but he has 7 assists to 8 turnovers, has picked up 9 fouls in 2 games, and is 0-for-5 from beyond the arc. Nazr Mohammed grabbed just 1 rebound in 13 minutes in game 1, while Matt Carroll had 0 points in the same amount of time. In game 2, both players received DNP-CD’s, so they’re clearly not key players in Larry Brown’s rotation. The Sean May experiment didn’t last long. After starting the season opener and shooting 0-for-6 from the field, May didn’t play at all in game 2. He was terrible in the preseason, and he clearly isn’t ready to play big minutes yet. Jared Dudley is now starting, so keep an eye on him.
START: J-Rich, Wallace, Okafor
BORDERLINE: Felton
WATCH: Dudley, Augustin
Chicago Bulls (4 games)
If you throw out his stinker against Boston, Drew Gooden has been pretty solid. He dominated Memphis’ frontline en route to 20 boards and 3 blocks, and he’ll get more playing time if he can keep it up. Derrick Rose’s numbers haven’t been very consistent, but his averages after 3 games are very solid and he’s only getting warmed up. After a solid opening night, Deng has been pretty quiet. He’s averaging just 13.3 points on 38.9% shooting, and his all-around stats aren’t what they used to be. Tyrus Thomas has been very active defensively (4 steals and 8 blocks in 3 games), but he’s shooting just 7-for-32 from the field, which is beyond awful for a big man. Joakim Noah managed to pull down 13 boards in just 23 minutes on Friday, but he played just 7 minutes on Saturday and cannot be relied on at this point. However, I don’t suggest dropping him just yet. Ben Gordon is averaging just 13.3 points per game on 37.5% shooting, but you should be more worried about his 10.7 shot attempts and 24 minutes per game. Andres Nocioni is just 5-for-16 from the field, and he continues to struggle after a poor preseason.
START: Rose, Gooden, Thomas, Deng
BORDERLINE: Hinrich, Gordon
BENCH: Noah
Cleveland Cavaliers (4 games)
LeBron’s 9.3 assists per game are outstanding, but he’s 0-for-9 from beyond the arc, is shooting just 43% FG and 63% FT, and is averaging just 19.7 points per game. If you picked him over Chris Paul and you’re not regretting it, something’s wrong with you. Mo Williams is averaging just 13.3 points, 4.3 assists, and .7 steals thru 3 games, which are well below his numbers from previous years. A decline in rebounds was expected, but Big Z is averaging just 5.3 boards per game thus far. After a sub-par game 1 vs. Boston, Daniel Gibson has made 6-of-11 threes and scored 39 points in 2 games. He’s coming off the bench, but is still averaging around 30 minutes per game. Sasha Pavlovic played just 4 minutes on Saturday and appears to be out of Mike Brown’s rotation at the moment.
START: LeBron, Big Z, M. Williams
BORDERLINE: D. West, Gibson, B. Wallace
WATCH: Varejao
Dallas Mavericks (4 games)
Jason Kidd has made just 1 three and scored only 16 points thru 2 games, but he’s dished out 19 assists to just 2 turnovers, and has pulled down 16 boards and grabbed 8 steals. Those are excellent numbers for a guy who many people wanted to write off this year. Josh Howard had a sub-par performance on Saturday, but he was extremely impressive in the season opener, which is a good sign for the season ahead. No one expected big numbers from Dampier, but 5 rebounds and .5 blocks per game is disappointing, even by his standards. Meanwhile, Diop received just 11 minutes in the opener, but he played 28 solid minutes in game 2, posting 6 boards, 3 blocks, and even 4 assists. As always, keep an eye on him if you need blocks. Stackhouse has scored just 4 points and is 2-for-11 from the field thru 2 games, but he started on Saturday and could be due for more minutes. The Antoine Wright experiment didn’t last very long. He started the season opener, but he shot just 1-for-6 in 17 minutes, to go along 2 turnovers and 3 fouls. In game 2, not only did he not start, but he received a DNP-CD.
START: Dirk, Kidd, J. Howard, Terry
BENCH: Dampier
WATCH: Diop, Stackhouse
Denver Nuggets (3 games)
Is something wrong with Allen Iverson? He’s averaging just 18.7 points, 1 steal, and 3.3 turnovers per game. On Friday, the Clippers’ announcers commented on how listless he looked, and when they asked someone from Denver about it, they were told that he’s been looking that way in practice as well. If AI is going to just “go thru the motions” while he waits for a trade, his owners should be worried. Carmelo Anthony returned from his 2-game suspension to shoot just 5-for-15 from the field and 0-for-4 from the line, with 5 turnovers to boot. Hopefully all of the rust is off now. K-Mart is shooting just 45% from the field, but he’s averaging 16.3 points, 8 rebounds, and 1.7 steals per game, and has even made 2 treys already! Smith is averaging 15.7 points per game, but he’s just 5-for-17 from 3-point range, and fans expected more buckets when Carmelo was out. Anthony Carter has played big minutes to start the season, and his numbers are very good. He’s averaging 15 points on 69% shooting, to go along with 4.7 assists and 1.3 steals per game. Not bad for a guy who was ignored by most people. Chris Andersen is averaging a rock solid 6.0 boards and 2.3 blocks in just 17.7 minutes off the bench. Watch the “Bidrman” if you need a big man. A lot of people expected big things from Linas Kleiza while Anthony was suspended, but he’s averaging just 5 points per game on 22.7% shooting, including a dreadful 0-for-10 from beyond the arc. There’s no point in waiting for him to get hot, so cut his ass if you haven’t already.
START: Anthony, Iverson, K-Mart
BORDERLINE: JR Smith, Nene
BENCH: A. Carter
WATCH: C. Andersen
Detroit Pistons (4 games)
Chauncey Billups is averaging a solid 7.5 assists and 1.5 steals thus far, but he’s shooting just 33% from the field and has gotten extra playing time due to Stuckey’s foul trouble. Rasheed Wallace destroyed Washington to the tune of 17 points, 12 boards, 6 blocks, and 2 threes, and is showing that he still has plenty of gas left in his tank. After posting 6 rebounds, 3 blocks, and 1 foul in 21 minutes in the opener, Amir Johnson had 2 rebounds, 0 blocks, and 5 fouls in 11 minutes in game 2. If you want the blocks, you’ll have to get used to the up and down numbers. Detroit signed Jason Maxiell to a 4-year contract extension for $20 million, but he’s playing just 17.5 minutes per game to start the season. Stuckey is supposed to Detroit’s “sixth starter,” but he’s averaging just 17 minutes per game due to foul trouble. I said to be careful of him in my Pistons team preview, and I’m glad that I didn’t gamble on him. In my Pistons team preview, I said not to sleep on Walter Herrmann, and he’s responded with 26 points and 5 threes in just 39 minutes off the bench thru 2 games!
START: Billups, Hamilton, R. Wallace
BORDERLINE: Prince, Amir, Stuckey
WATCH: Herrmann
Golden St. Warriors (4 games)
Andris Biedrins has posted 3 straight double-doubles to start the season, but he’s also scoring a whopping 18 points per game on 65.6% FG shooting. A breakout season indeed. Stephen Jackson’s turnovers are high and his FG% is low, but he’s dishing out 6 assists per game as a point guard, and STILL making 4 treys per game as the Warriors’ #1 scorer. Al Harrington is red hot from behind the arc, as he’s made 11-of-23 treys thru 3 games. A very good start to Al’s ’08-09 season. Corey Maggete is pulling down 8.7 rebounds and getting the line 11.3 times per game, but he’s shooting just 38.5% from the field and commiting 3.7 turnovers. His numbers should improve once he gets more comfortable in Nellie’s system. Azubuike is the Warriors’ 6th man this season, and he’s going to have plenty of big games. Turiaf is averaging just 2 points per game, but he’s already swatted 10 shots in just 69 total minutes. Brandan Wright has played just 15 total minutes in 3 games, while Marcus Williams, Marco Belinelli, and Anthony Randolph have yet to see any real game action. Rather than give the young guys playing time, Nelson is opting to play his veterans 40+ minutes every night. With 2 games vs. Memphis, 1 game vs. Denver, and 1 game vs. Sacramento this week, expect several high-scoring affairs.
START: Jackson, Biedrins, Maggette, Harrington
BORDERLINE: Azubuike
WATCH: Turiaf
Houston Rockets (4 games)
Thru 3 games, Yao Ming is averaging 22.3 points, 11.3 rebounds, and only 1.3 turnovers per contest. He’s also shooting 52% from the field and has missed just 1 free throw in 22 attempts. Artest is shooting under 40% from the field, but he’s made 7 treys in 3 games, has yet to miss a free throw, and he looks like a very good fit in Houston. Are T-Mac’s injuries affecting his shot? He’s shooting just 37% from the field and has made only 2 treys in 3 games. Rafer Alston is no stranger to slow starts and shooting woes, but he’s been especially bad thus far. He’s gotten plenty of minutes, but he’s averaging just 3 assists and .7 steals per game, while shooting a miserable 21.7% from the field. After missing the season opener, Aaron Brooks has been a sparkplug off the bench. It looks like he’s going to get solid minutes this season. Before the season started, I said that Landry would have more value than Scola sooner than people think, and Carl went for 14 points, 11 boards, and 2 steals in 28 minutes on Saturday.
START: Yao, Artest, T-Mac
BORDERLINE: Alston
BENCH: Scola
WATCH: Brooks, Landry
Indiana Pacers (3 games)
Danny Granger has made just 3-of-11 threes, but he’s averaging 26.5 points on 50% shooting from the field, and has racked up 3 steals and 5 blocks in just 2 games (against last year’s top two Eastern Conference teams no less). Troy Murphy is shooting just 38% from the field, but in 2 games, he’s already compiled 23 rebounds, 7 assists, 4 threes, 4 steals, and 3 blocks. He was one of my career-year candidates, so I hope you gambled on him. TJ Ford is scoring efficiently, but his fantasy owners want steals and assists, and his current averages of 1.0 and 4.5 are not going to cut it. Marquis Daniels is starting in place of Dunleavy and putting up solid all-around numbers. Jarrett Jack is receiving decent minutes off the bench, but he’s totaled just 3 assists, 1 steal, and 1 three in 2 games, which aren’t fantasy-worthy numbers. Nesterovic hurt his ankle on Saturday, which could open up more minutes for Foster & Hibbert if he’s out for awhile. Watch all 3 guys to see if 1 emerges.
START: Granger, Murphy, Ford
BORDERLINE: M. Daniels
BENCH: Dunleavy
WATCH: Jack, Nesterovic, Foster, Hibbert
L.A. Clippers (4 games)
After a mediocre season opener vs. the Lakers, Baron Davis landed hard on his left hip on Friday and is currently sidelined. Keep him benched until he returns. Kaman is currently shooting just 31% from the field, while coughing the ball up 3.3 times per game. 10.7 boards and 2.0 blocks isn’t bad, but owners were hoping for more with Camby out. Marcus is targeting Monday for his first game this season, but owners will have to see it to believe it. I’m glad I don’t own either player this season. Al Thornton had a big game on Friday vs. Denver, but he played 48 minutes because it went into OT and the Clipps were missing Baron and Camby. If you throw that game out, his numbers are very mediocre, but he’s worth starting for now. Mobley is averaging 15 points, 14.3 FG attempts, and 1.7 steals per game, but those numbers are sure to fall when Baron returns. Tim Thomas has started at power forward in place of Camby. He’s made just 3 threes in 3 games, but he’s averaging 15.7 points and 7.3 boards. Keep an eye on him in case Camby continues to miss games. Even with Baron ailing, Ricky Davis has contributed very little. He’s averaging just 2.3 points per game on 18.8% FG shooting, and Coach Dunleavy has no reason to give him more than 20 minutes per game until he starts to play better. If he doesn’t heat up in the next 10 days, you should probably drop him.
START: Kaman, Thornton
BORDERLINE: Camby, Mobley
BENCH: B. Davis, R. Davis
WATCH: T. Thomas
L.A. Lakers (2 games)
Matchup of the week: Kobe Bryant vs. Ron Artest on Sunday. Sure enough, Kobe’s minutes and stats are down this season. He averaged 37-42 mpg in each of the past 10 seasons, but is currently playing just 32 minutes per game. His assists and 3-point attempts have also taken big hits, but things should get better for Bryant. The 2.3 blocked shots are nice, but Andrew Bynum is averaging just 8 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 24.7 minutes per game thus far. However, he’s been in foul trouble every game, so when that aspect improves, the rest of his numbers will follow. Odom owners should be much more worried. Despite Bynum’s foul troubles, Lamar is averaging just 26 minutes per game and has yet to score more than 10 points. His trade value is minimal right now, so all you can do is bench him. D-Fish is still solid. In 3 games, he’s knocked down 5 treys and dished out 10 assists to just 3 turnovers. It’s a shame that Ariza can’t get more playing time, because he’s averaging 9.7 points and 1.7 steals in just 20 minutes per game. He’s also made 5-of-6 shots from beyond the arc thus far, which is a great sign for Laker fans. Despite inconsistent minutes, Radmanovic has knocked down 2 treys in every single game thus far. Vujacic is still nursing an ankle injury, which helps to explain his limited minutes (15 mpg) and poor shooting (35% FG).
START: Kobe, Gasol
BORDERLINE: Bynum
BENCH: Odom, Fisher, Radmanovic
WATCH: Ariza, Farmar
Memphis Grizzlies (4 games)
With 2 games against the Warriors, 1 game against the Kings, and 1 game against the Nuggets this week, the Grizz will have excellent opportunities to put numbers on the board. The points, steals, blocks, and shot attempts are there, but Rudy Gay is just 1-for-11 from beyond the arc and is pulling down just 4.3 rebounds per game. O.J. Mayo is shooting just 37% from the field and commiting 4 turnovers per game, but he’s receiving nearly 40 minutes of playing time, which means that decent numbers are right around the corner. He’s made just 42% of his shots thus far, but Marc Gasol is rebounding well (8.3 boards per game) and contributing in other categories (5 assists, 4 blocks, and 2 steals in 3 games). Not bad for a rookie. Mike Conley is off to a terrible start this season. He’s averaging just 7 points and 2.3 assists per game, and is shooting just 36% from the field and 17% from beyond the arc. I warned you about drafting point guards on losing teams, and Conley is no exception. After exploding for 21 boards and 4 blocks in his first 2 NBA games, Darrell Arthur fell back to Earth on Saturday, pulling down just 3 rebounds in 13 minutes. I think it’s going to take an injury for him to be a consistent fantasy performer. Hakim Warrick played just 15 minutes in the season opener, but is slowly working his way out of coach Iavaroni’s doghouse. He went for 18 points, 7 boards, a steal, and a block in 35 minutes on Saturday, which is a sign that better days could be ahead.
START: Gay, Mayo, Gasol
BORDERLINE: Conley, Arthur, Warrick
BENCH: Darko
WATCH: Lowry
Miami Heat (3 games)
He’s shooting just 41% from the field and 70% from the line, but Dwyane Wade is filling up the stat sheet like the player that we know and love. Just wait’ll he gets hot. He’s scoring just 12 points per game on 43% shooting, but Marion is also averaging 9.7 boards, 1.7 steals, and 2.7 blocks per game, helping him maintain his elite status. Beasley had a very quiet NBA debut (9 points, 4 rebounds, 3 turnovers) and his numbers have been up and down, but he had a nice game on Saturday and it looks like he might be starting to warm up. Udonis Haslem is off to a great start, scoring 17.7 points on a scorching 70.6% from the field, to go along with 7.7 rebounds per game. Ride the hot streak while it lasts, but remember that Haslem gets very few steals and blocks (if you get a nice trade offer, you might want to sell high). In his first 3 NBA games, Chalmers has totaled 18 assists, 6 steals, 4 threes, and just 4 turnovers, which is pretty good for a rookie point guard. Daequan Cook knocked down 6 treys in Miami’s first 2 games, but he had a 1-for-8 stinker on Saturday. He doesn’t get many steals or assists, which makes him a very risky fantasy option. After sitting out the first 2 games, Quinn played 11 minutes on Saturday and scored just 2 points. He has a long way to before making a fantasy impact. No one expected much from Mark Blount, but the veteran big man has pulled down just 2 rebounds in 27 total minutes, and is clearly out of the rotation.
START: Wade, Marion, Beasley
BORDERLINE: Haslem, Chalmers
WATCH: Cook
Milwaukee Bucks (3 games)
Redd is averaging 21.3 points and 2.8 treys per game, but he’s doing little else to help out his fantasy owners. He sprained his ankle on Sunday, so he’s a questionable start this week. Bogut has been nursing an ankle injury, so his slow start isn’t a big surprise. Expect better numbers going forward. Richard Jefferson is off to a slow start, shooting just 34.5% from the field. Luke Ridnour averaged just 4.5 points and 4.5 assists in 26.5 minutes in Milwaukee’s first 2 games, then missed Saturday’s game with a back injury. I’m going to hang onto him a bit longer, but I can’t blame you if you decide to drop him. Meanwhile, Ramon Sessions didn’t even play in the Bucks’ first 2 games, but his outlook is much brighter now. He’s started 2 games in place of Ridnour, and scored 30 points and dropped 17 assists. If he continues to play well, he may steal the starting job away from Luke, so grab him if you can in case it happens. UCLA rookie Luc Mbah a Moute is averaging just 23 minutes per game, but he’s already making an impact defensively (1.3 steals and .8 blocks per game) and may earn more minutes going forward.
START: Bogut, R. Jefferson
BORDERLINE: Redd, Villanueva, Sessions
BENCH: Ridnour
WATCH: Mbah a Moute
Minnesota Timberwolves (3 games)
Al Jefferson had a 5-for-15 stinker vs. Dallas, but his numbers are still pretty solid thus far. While 3 blocks in 3 games is a nice surprise, Mike Miller is just 1-for-8 from beyond the arc and the rest of his numbers aren’t very impressive. He’s on a new team, so give him some time to get adjusted. Foye is shooting a terrible 22% from the field, and his averages of 7.3 points and 5.0 dimes per game are very mediocre. Ryan Gomes has actually made 50% of his shots and he’s starting at power forward, but he’s not getting enough minutes (27.3 mpg) or touches to fill the stat sheet like he did last season. Rashad McCants was averaging 16.5 points on 50% FG shooting after 2 games, but he scored just 4 points on Sunday and won’t be a reliable option until someone gets hurt.
START: A. Jefferson
BORDERLINE: M. Miller
BENCH: Foye, Gomes, Love, Brewer, McCants
New Jersey Nets (3 games)
Devin Harris is shooting just 36% from the field and has only 1 steal and 0 threes in 2 games. 13 points and 5 assists is decent, but I’m expecting a lot more. Bobby Simmons is starting at small forward, but it might not last very long. He’s made just 3-of-13 shots and has compiled 10 points, 3 rebounds, and 9 fouls in 47 total minutes. If he’s on your team, you should start considering other options. Josh Boone was average in the season opener, but he exploded for 17 points, 14 boards, and 3 blocks in game 2 vs. Golden State. Keep an eye on him if you need a big man. Brook Lopez had a solid preseason, and he’s carried that play into the regular season, averaging 9 points, 8 boards, and 2 blocks in just 22 minutes per game off the bench. If he keeps producing at a high level, Lawrence Frank will have no choice but to give him more minutes. Fellow rookie Ryan Anderson has received 33 total minutes in New Jersey’s first 2 games, and he’s tallied 17 points, 7 boards, 3 threes, 2 steals, 2 assists, and a block. If he continues to knock down outside shots, his role could expand. Sean Williams has yet to play in a game this season, and now he’s really angry, because he asked New Jersey to NOT pick up the option on his contract and they did so anyway.
START: V. Carter, Harris
BORDERLINE: Jianlian, Boone, B. Lopez
BENCH: B. Simmons
WATCH: R. Anderson
New Orleans Hornets (3 games)
Chris Paul wasted no time in proving why he’s the #1 fantasy player around, as he’s already averaging 21.7 points, 12 assists, 5.3 boards, and 2.3 steals per game on 50% FG and 87% FT shooting. CP3 cannot be stopped! Peja Stojakovic & Tyson Chandler got off to solid starts, but both guys are nursing ankle injuries at the moment. As expected, Posey has been an excellent addition to the Hornets. He’s made a whopping 10-of-16 threes already, and is averaging 13 points in just 28 minutes off the bench. Rasual Butler was in Byron Scott’s doghouse for most of last season, but he’s gotten a fresh start and is playing much better this year. He started Saturday’s game in place of Peja, and dropped 14 points, 3 threes, and 3 assists in 37 minutes. He’ll be a nice source of threes while Peja’s out.
START: Paul, D. West, Posey
BORDERLINE: Chandler, Peterson, R. Butler
BENCH: Stojakovic
New York Knicks (3 games)
David Lee was averaging 14.5 points, 11 rebounds, 4 assists, and 2 steals per contest after 2 games, but for some reason he played only 20 minutes on Sunday. I’m not worried about Randolph shooting just 35% from the field after 3 games, but I am concerned with the fact that he’s playing just 31 minutes per game, despite not being in foul trouble. If this becomes a trend, his value will be somewhat limited. After an excellent season opener, Crawford has been pretty quiet, making him a questionable start for week 2. Nate Robinson has racked up 13 assists, 8 steals, and 5 threes in just 3 games, but he’s made just 37% of his shots. Likewise, Duhon has tallied 13 assists, 4 steals, and 5 threes, but is shooting just 30% from the field. Once they get hot, their stats should be solid. Quentin Richardson exploded for 28 points, 9 boards, and 5 treys on Sunday, so pick him up if he’s still available. Eddy Curry & Stephon Marbury have yet to see any game action, and that might not change anytime soon. Curry was just placed on the inactive list with a “knee injury,” and Marbury may be bought out of his contract at any moment.
START: Lee, Randolph
BORDERLINE: Crawford, Robinson, Q-Rich
BENCH: Duhon, Chandler
Oklahoma City Thunder (3 games)
Kevin Durant is scoring just 18.7 points on 42% shooting. If he slumps any further, you may want to try and trade for him. Jeff Green is averaging only 10.7 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. I hope he becomes more assertive, because Watson & Petro should NOT be attempting more shots than him. Thru 2 games, Collison was averaging just 5 rebounds in 28.5 minutes per game, but he broke out for 10 boards, 3 steals, and 2 blocks on Sunday. Wilcox has been coming off the bench due to a hamstring injury, and is averaging just 9 points and 5 rebounds in 24 minutes per game. Keep him on your bench, and wait for his minutes to rise above 30 before starting him. Thru 3 games, Watson has posted 16 assists and 4 steals, but he’s shooting just 28% from the field and has yet to make a three. The rookie Westbrook is shooting just 41% from the field thus far, but his other stats aren’t bad for just 22 minutes per game. John Petro has been starting at center, but he’s shooting just 38% from the field and he doesn’t block a ton of shots.
START: Durant
BORDERLINE: Collison, Green
BENCH: Wilcox, Watson, Westbrook
Orlando Magic (3 games)
Dwight Howard is off to a dominating start, averaging 21.7 points on 63% FG shooting, to go along with 14.3 boards and a monster 4.3 blocks per game. However, he’s made just 17-of-33 free throws, so it’s the same old story from the line. After fouling out in 29 minutes in the season opener, Rashard Lewis has been superb. Hedo Turkoglu has made just 29% of his 3-pointers thus far, but the rest of his stats are actually very close to what he put up last year. Mickael Pietrus already has two 20-point games, and is a surprising 11-for-11 from the line (66.7% FT for his career). Jameer Nelson is averaging a very sub-par 10.3 points, 3.7 dimes, and .7 steals per game thus far, all below his career averages.
START: Howard, Lewis, Turkoglu
BORDERLINE: Pietrus
BENCH: Nelson
Philadelphia 76ers (3 games)
He’s blocked just 3 shots in 3 games, but Brand is averaging 18.3 points and a monster 14.3 rebounds per game. Iguodala is scoring just 12.7 points per game on 38% FG shooting, which makes him a good buy low target. There were some concerns about Dalembert this year, but he’s responded by pulling down 36 boards and blocking 7 shots in just 3 games thus far. Strangely, Andre Miller has yet to grab a steal, but he’s averaging 14.7 points and 7 assists per game. Thaddeus Young also has 0 steals thus far, but he exploded for 22 points and 4 threes on Saturday, and has pulled down 5+ boards in each game. Louis Williams is scoring points off the bench, but he’s doing little else, making him a risky play for the time being.
START: Brand, Iguodala, Dalembert, Miller
BORDERLINE: Young
BENCH: L. Williams
Phoenix Suns (4 games)
Amare isn’t getting quite as many shots as he did last year, but he’s still scoring 22 points per game on a dominating 64% from the field. His stats should improve as the season rolls along. Steve Nash’s steals and assists are down, but his points and FG% are currently at career-high levels, so he’s still a stud PG. Believe it or not, Shaq is shooting 64% from the field and 61% from the line after 3 games. The former would be a career-high, while the latter would be his 2nd-highest mark of all time. You could tell that Matt Barnes was forcing things in his 1st game, but he settled down and exploded for 21 points, 5 boards, 3 assists, 3 threes, and a steal on Saturday. With 4 games, he’s a solid start. Meanwhile, Barbosa and Diaw aren’t getting enough minutes to be reliable options at this point, so bench them and look for better options.
START: Stoudemire, Nash, S. O’Neal, Barnes
BORDERLINE: Bell
BENCH: Barbosa, Diaw
Portland Trail Blazers (3 games)
Portland has to face Utah and Houston this week, two tough defensive teams. Brandon Roy is shooting just 43% from the field, but he’s filling up the stat sheet in a major way. As long as he’s healthy, he’s a must-start. Aldridge looks to be playing more physical this year, but the numbers don’t support that, as he’s averaging just 5 rebounds and shooting 40% from the field. The sweet-shooting Rudy Fernandez has already made 6-of-15 threes and has a 20-point game under his belt. There’s plenty more where that came from. Outlaw is going to play more minutes with Greg Oden out, so he’s a solid option at this point. He’s made a trey in every game thus far, and more blocks should be coming soon. Blake is currently averaging 2 threes, but just 3 assists per game. If you need boards, Przybilla is worth picking up while Oden’s out. I don’t suggest starting him this week however, as he could be guarding Boozer, Yao, and Al Jefferson. This kid Batum (he turns 20 in December) is more NBA-ready than I thought he would be. He’s definitely long and athletic, altho probably a few years away from making a fantasy impact.
START: Roy
BORDERLINE: Aldridge, Fernandez, Outlaw
BENCH: Oden, Blake
WATCH: Przybilla
Sacramento Kings (4 games)
Kev-Mart got off to a terrible 7-for-27 start, but he busted out for 31 points on Saturday. With games against Memphis and Golden State this week, expect more high-scoring performances. John Salmons is the Kings’ only other reliable option on offense right now. One reason I preferred Garcia was Francisco’s superior 3-point shooting, and sure enough, Salmons is just 1-for-7 from beyond the arc thus far. Spencer Hawes is currently putting up 11.7 points, 9.7 rebounds, 2.3 blocks, 1 steal and 1 three per game, but don’t expect it to continue, because Brad Miller returns later this week. Miller’s return will mean fewer frontcourt minutes all around, making Jason Thompson a risky play and rendering Mikki Moore worthless. Beno Udrih isn’t taking many shot attempts, but he’s not exactly doing a great job of facilitating the offense (4 assists to 4 turnovers per game).
START: Kev-Mart, Salmons, Hawes
BORDERLINE: Udrih, Thompson
BENCH: B. Miller, Garcia
San Antonio Spurs (3 games)
Timmy D is averaging 29.5 points on 62.5% FG shooting thru 2 games, but he’s yet to block a shot and is shooting free throws poorly right off the bat. The Spurs are 0-2 to start the season, which is actually a good sign for Duncan owners, because he’ll need to play big minutes while Manu’s out. I predicted a career year for Tony Parker, and he’s off to a superb start. Thru 2 games, he’s averaging 28 points and 8 assists on 53.5% FG and 83.3% FT shooting. Roger Mason is getting big minutes off the bench, and he’s dished out 7 assists and made 5 threes in just 2 games. He’ll be a decent option in deep leagues until Ginobili comes back. Matt Bonner is averaging just 6.5 points per game, but he’s worth noting because he played 30 minutes in game 1 and he started game 2. He’s capable of knocking down a lot of threes if he gets hot, so keep an eye on him. With Oberto out with an irregular heartbeat, you’d think that Kurt Thomas might have some fringe fantasy value. Not so. He’s averaging just 2 points and 6 rebounds in 24 minutes per game. At 36 years old, it looks like you can officially write him off. Ditto for the 37 year old Bowen. He’s still starting, but he’s averaging just 21 minutes per game (his lowest mark in 9 years) and has yet to score a point.
START: Duncan, T. Parker
BORDERLINE: R. Mason
BENCH: Ginobili, Finley
WATCH: Bonner
Toronto Raptors (3 games)
Chris Bosh is off to a great start, averaging 26 points, 10 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game on 54% FG and 80% FT shooting. The extra dimes are a great bonus, so hopefully he can keep that up. Some people weren’t sold on Calderon’s stats from last season, but he’s averaging 18 points, 9.7 assists, and 2 treys per game to go along with excellent shooting %’s. He’s not scoring many points, but Jermaine O’Neal is averaging 7.3 boards, 2 blocks, and 5.3 fouls per game. I regret passing on Anthony Parker, because he’s racked up 8 steals and 7 threes in just 3 games thus far. He isn’t pulling down any boards, but Jamario Moon has already racked up 5 threes, 5 steals, and 4 blocks in 3 games. Bargnani sandwiched one stellar game with 2 mediocre performances, but he’s blocking shots and not settling for threes, which is a good thing. Kapono is Toronto’s leading scorer off the bench, so keep an eye on him.
START: Bosh, Calderon, J. O’Neal, A. Parker
BORDERLINE: Moon
BENCH: Bargnani
WATCH: Kapono
Utah Jazz (4 games)
Boozer is off to a great start, scoring 25 points on 64% shooting and pulling down 12 rebounds per game. Okur has pulled down 10 boards in each game, but is just 8-for-23 from the field and has yet to make a three thus far. Kirilenko is playing fantastic off the bench, and his all-around numbers are outstanding. Deron Williams is targeting Wednesday’s home game vs. Portland for his ’08-09 debut, which would give him 3 games this week. He’s a risky start, but if you need assists, you may as well roll the dice on him. Brewer is averaging 15.5 points per game and has already made a three, which is notable because he made just 11 in 76 games last year.
START: Boozer, Okur, Kirilenko, Brewer
BORDERLINE: D. Williams
WATCH: Millsap, Korver
Washington Wizards (3 games)
Caron Butler is off to a decent start, but I’m expecting more this season. Jamison had a very poor season opener, but he dropped 24 points and 8 rebounds in game 2. Stevenson knocked down 4 treys in the opener, but he hasn’t done much else, so keep him on your bench. Antonio Daniels is good for his 4+ assist/ turnover ratio, but that’s about it. Blatche played just 4 minutes on Saturday, and was called out by coach Jordan afterwards. That’s not a good sign, but Andray still has all kinds of potential. Nick Young exploded for 23 points in just 29 minutes on Saturday, so keep an eye on him since the Wizards need extra offense.
START: Butler, Jamison
BENCH: Arenas, Stevenson, A. Daniels, E. Thomas
WATCH: Blatche, Young






Nice Site layout for your blog. I am looking forward to reading more from you.
Tom Humes
HELL YES to Anthony Carter, though today’s news is probably not the best for him.
WOW. See what happens when you’re up all night typing?
Iverson to Detroit for Billups & McDyess???
I’m not sure if I like that trade for Detroit. Meanwhile, I think it’s a great move for Denver, as they have a proven winner at PG now and some frontcourt depth. If you read my section on the Nuggets, you’ll see that I at least speculated that something was up with Iverson. This explains things. My immediate fantasy reaction is that Billups value goes up while Iverson’s goes down, JR Smith’s value soars thru the roof, Amir and Maxiell could BOTH be solid now, Stuckey could get a few more minutes but will still be limited, and yes, Anthony Carter & Chris Andersen will go back to being fringe options.
Excellent wrap-up of the opening week, Eric. One thing that really bothers me is the fact that most fantasy writers out there only focus on studs and waiver wire pickups, which make up just a quarter of one’s team. Your review of the regular role-players that fill up the stat sheet is much appreciated!
Note that David Lee only played 20 minutes as he was in foul trouble — he shouldn’t have much problem posting the best numbers of his career this year. I was ridiculed for starting a Lee/Biedrins combo as my centers this week and it paid off rather nicely!
Love the analysis, keep it coming.
I am feeling a little skitzo on the trade; I drafted both AI and JR. Win some, lose some.
Great stuff, I appreciate the analysis and look forward to next week’s edition.
good stuff. i really like maxiell is the trade goes through
Do you think the arrival of McDyess to Denver hurts Kenyon Martin’s numbers going forward?
Great analysis, E. Keep it up!
As a Pistons fan, I’m not sure what to think of the Iverson trade. Supposedly, Iverson wanted to come to Detroit. If he’s motivated, it could be a great thing but it’ll obviously depend on how he meshes with the rest of the team. You can’t just take Billups out and plug Iverson in and run the same offense!
Long term it makes more sense as they ditch Chauncey’s 3 remaining years for Iverson’s expiring deal and they have Stuckey to slide in as the starting PG next year.
hehe yeh i read the articlee…..i dont thikn carter gonna benefit much anymore..it’ll be billups and j.r. smith…whoooopssee! ohh guess what i picked up maxiell over yi! wat u say? i rather stay on the safer side…cause amir gets into foul trouble often!
Thanks, great stuff !!
Looks to me like (on average) the established players are playing sub par, at least looking at all those low %’s. Maybe it’s just getting the rust off in the first week…
NIce job. Keep up the good work.
I found the format very useful.
This is great stuff….PLEASE don’t stop
Love the write up Evil. I can tell a lot of work went into it.
As far as the trade goes the big question for me is what is going to happen with Rip Hamilton?
Love the analysis and the Draft Kit. This information is truly a competitive advantage in my leagues.
This might be a dumb question but I have been tracking Delonte West thanks to you. I have Ridnour and Anthony Carter in an 8-cat league. Does it make more sense to drop Carter? Also, I have Jeff Green as well and I am not sold on him.
Yeah, forget about A.C. now. Jeff Green’s gotta step it up, but part of it is him getting the green light from Coach PJ and then charging forward. I don’t think he’s gotten the green light yet, but he needs to play aggressively to do well. Rip’s still gonna get his.
Thanks for the comments guys.
hey what’s up evil,
great work again. i’ve been a big fan since your days over at 82games.com and i just wanted to say that your work continues to get better and better. i look forward to reading more of your stuff in the future.
evil, i’ve received an offer: Rip hamilton for David Lee. your take?
always appreciate your work man
Is it time to pick up Brendan Wright now that Harrington is sulking his way out of town?